Novavax vaccine, S&P 500 over 3000, travel shares fly – By Jasper Lawler, Head of Research


Novavax vaccine, S&P 500 over 3000, travel shares fly

10:17am BST | May 26th 2020

S&P 500 futures break above 3000 – Novavax coronavirus vaccine offers investors hope.

Nikkei 225 reaches 10 week high – Japan ends its state of emergency

Dollar index (DXY) backs off from 100 level – Economies reopening cuts haven flows

Travel stocks fly! (TUI +25%) – Germany considers ending some tourist travel warnings

Novavax Vaccine

Investors are betting that a vaccine will cure all the market’s ills. News from US pharmaceutical company Novavax that it is ready for human trials of its coronavirus vaccine is reigniting animal spirits.

The initial results of the trials will be available in July. The vaccine news has been the spark that was needed to push stock markets above and beyond month-long sideways ranges. Another new vaccine in development offers another path towards the coronavirus endgame.

The S&P 500 is pointing to a move above the important 3000 threshold at the open. It means the US benchmark would reach its highest since early March. Japan’s stock benchmark the Nikkei 225 reached its highest in 10 weeks after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe ended the country’s state of emergency in all cities and regions.

Travel Shares

Healthcare and travel companies were leading the gains across European indices. Virus cases falling after over a month of lifting lockdown restrictions means travel restrictions are the next to go. Austria, Germany and Switzerland had already relaxed travel between their borders.

Germany is now considering removing a travel warning to tourists for 31 European destinations. Travel company TUI saw shares surge over 25%. The timing couldn’t be better for travel firms hoping to grab the end of the Summer bookings season.

Dollar Drops

States lifting lock-down measures and Novavax making progress towards another coronavirus vaccine means less need for a haven like the dollar.
Gold also fell but remains comfortably above $1700 per oz, cushioned by the weaker dollar.

The pullback in the dollar comes as optimism in Europe is building around the €500 billion recovery fund. For the most part currencies have been trading in tight ranges with interest rates pressed to the floor globally.

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Chart: Offshore yuan (6-months)

The dollar remains elevated against the yuan over escalating US-China tensions. The exchange rate is testing 7.165 a ceiling to the price since October.
Kind Regards,
Jasper Lawler Head of Research
Financial Markets and Political Commentary


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About the author

Jasper delivers regular commentary, seminars and webinars on market news, trading analysis, strategy and psychology. He is regularly interviewed by BBC News, Bloomberg, CNBC and Sky News, and has featured in The Times, Guardian and Daily Telegraph. Jasper hosts a weekly charting analysis webinar. He is qualified as a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) with the Market Technician Association, and has a degree in Finance and Economics.